State of Origin I is set to kick off at Accor Stadium, marking a new chapter for New South Wales under the leadership of coach Michael Maguire. The Blues are eager to reclaim the shield for the first time since 2021, and with a slew of debutants, they aim to break Queensland’s recent dominance.
Since Billy Slater took over as head coach in 2022, Queensland has triumphed in both series as underdogs. This year, however, the Maroons enter the series as favourites, buoyed by their consistent performances and the Blues’ injury woes. Queensland will be missing key player Cameron Munster for the opener, with Tom Dearden stepping in at five-eighth. Additionally, Jaydn Su’A has been preferred over David Fifita, and J’maine Hopgood will debut from the bench.
On the other hand, New South Wales features five new faces and a new captain, Jake Trbojevic, the most capped Blue. Initially, Dylan Edwards was named among the debutants, including Zac Lomax, Joseph Sua’ali’i, Cameron McInnes, Spencer Leniu, and Haumole Olakau’atu. However, a quad injury has sidelined Edwards, with James Tedesco stepping in to fill the void.
State of Origin represents the pinnacle of rugby league, bringing together top players from the NRL for an annual showdown of interstate pride. The arrival of Michael Maguire as coach signals a new era for New South Wales, sparking interest in how he will strategize against the formidable Queensland team.
Following two consecutive series losses, the Blues parted ways with Brad Fitler and turned to Maguire, hoping he can reverse their fortunes. Maguire’s fresh approach in preparation, staffing, and player selection has fans hopeful for a resurgence.
Meanwhile, Queensland has been methodically preparing to defend their dominance. Despite injuries affecting both teams, the series retains its high quality, promising peak performances from all players involved. With a home-ground advantage in the series opener, New South Wales seeks to leverage their new-look squad against the well-established Maroons.
In breaking news, Tedesco’s late inclusion has added intrigue, as he steps in with a point to prove after being initially overlooked. The Maroons’ team appears stronger on paper, reflected in their slight favoritism ($2 vs $1.80) and a 1.5-point line.
The uncertainty surrounding how the Blues will gel adds an element of unpredictability. Concerns about their squad focus on the lack of a reserve hooker or utility back, with Cam McInnes likely filling this role. While McInnes is a capable option, the inclusion of Koroisau might have offered a different dynamic. In contrast, Queensland’s experienced halfback, Daly Cherry-Evans, brings stability and leadership, enhancing their cohesion.
The Blues are determined to position themselves for victory, but it will require a monumental 80-minute effort. History shows that Game 1 matches are typically close; since 2011, the average margin of victory has been 9.7 points, with Sydney games averaging a 4.3-point difference. This trend suggests a tightly contested match, emphasizing the high stakes and intense competition inherent in State of Origin.
As the teams prepare to clash, the stage is set for a thrilling contest. Will the fresh faces and new leadership of New South Wales rise to the occasion, or will the tried-and-true combinations of Queensland continue their reign? Only time will tell in this eagerly anticipated series opener.
